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In the event of no deal the Government has said that EU nationals who are living in the UK, or who arrive in the UK, on or before 29 March 2019 will still be entitled to make an application under the EU Settlement Scheme.
There are two possible immigration statuses available to migrants who successfully apply under the Scheme:
In the event of no-deal EU nationals would have until 31 December 2020 to make their applications under the EU settlement scheme, whereas in the event of a deal they would have had until 30 June 2021.
In a no-deal scenario, EU nationals arriving in the UK from 30 March 2019 will have the right to visit, to study, to work or to join family in the UK, without the need for a visa, for up to three months.
If an EU national wishes to remain in the UK for more than 3 months, they will need to apply for European Temporary Leave to Remain. This application will need to be completed online, within the first 3 months that the EU national enters the UK. A fee will be payable, but the Government has not yet confirmed what that fee will be. Non-EU family members will be able to join EU nationals – they will require a family permit to do that. Details of the requirements for that have not yet been published.
European Temporary Leave to Remain will entitle an EU national to remain in the UK for 36 months from the date of their application. If they then wish to remain in the UK after that period, they will need to make an application under the new immigration system which will come into effect around 1 January 2021. If such an application is unsuccessful, the EU national will have to leave the UK upon the expiry of their European Temporary Leave to Remain.
Importantly time spent in the UK with European Temporary Leave to Remain will not count towards the time required in the UK for an application for indefinite leave to remain (i.e. permanent residence).
In the event of no-deal the position of Irish nationals will not change as they have the right to live and work in the UK as a result of the Common Travel Area between the UK and Ireland. Irish nationals will be able to make an application under the EU Settlement Scheme if they wish to do so, but this will not be a requirement.
Separate, similar, terms are being agreed with the wider EEA (Norway, Liechtenstein and Iceland) and Switzerland.
Whilst the proposals for EU nationals mean that if there is no-deal EU nationals will not suddenly find themselves in a position where they cannot enter the UK without a visa, which will be welcome news for businesses and individuals, there are lots of unanswered questions about the Government's proposals. For example:
We will monitor these issues and report on any developments in future updates.